NCR COVID positivity rate hits 18.9%: OCTA

Commuters line up at an EDSA bus carousel station along Monumento in Caloocan City on September 14, 2022. Jonathan Cellona, ​​ABS-CBN News

MANILA — Metro Manila’s COVID-19 positivity rate or percentage of positive tests for the virus has increased this week, a think tank said Friday.

According to Professor Ranjit Rye of OCTA Research, the capital region’s positivity rate rose to 18.9% as of September 28, from 17.5% on September 21.

“Nakikita natin na ‘yung napakataas po niyan positivity rate. So ibig sabihin, bukod sa kumakalat, marami sa ating mga kababayan and probably nahawaan,” he said during a televised briefing.

“These are conservative numbers that have been tested in Hindi.

(This positivity rate is very high. This means that in addition to spreading, many of our kababayans have likely caught COVID-19. These are conservative numbers as many have yet to be tested. Tests have decreases.)

Based on the group’s latest surveillance report, Metro Manila’s reproduction rate or number of infections by a single case of COVID-19 decreased slightly to 1.10 as of September 26, from 1.28 reported September 19.

“The growth of new cases in the NCR may have slowed, but cases continue to rise,” OCTA Research said.

The average daily attack rate in the capital region was 7.42 per day per 100,000 as of September 29, which is considered moderate. ADAR is the number of new cases over a 2-week period, divided by the population.

“The good news is that the rate of healthcare utilization for COVID in the NCR remained low at 35% while intensive care occupancy also remained low at 29%,” the think tank said.

Courtesy of OCTA Research
Courtesy of OCTA Research

Rye said there are several reasons for the rise in COVID-19 cases.

“The increase in cases in the National Capital Region is driven by number 1, the presence of more contagious variants,” he said. “Number 2 ‘yung high levels of mobility. Swim lessons face to face na tayo. Marami ho ang nasa labas na po.”

“Pangatlo, marami ang hindi na po nagko-compliance with minimum public health standards,” he added.

(We had face-to-face classes. Lots of people are going out. Third, many are no longer meeting minimum public health standards.)

He warned that local authorities in Calabarzon and Central Luzon should take precautions. In the past, when COVID-19 cases increased in Metro Manila, neighboring areas also experienced the same, he added.

The Health Ministry said on Thursday that 13 of the capital region’s 17 areas were at “moderate” risk of COVID-19 after reporting an increase in coronavirus infections.

These include Manila, Quezon City, Las Piñas, Makati, Mandaluyong, Marikina, Muntinlupa, Parañaque, Pasay, Pasig, San Juan, Taguig, and the Municipality of Pateros.

Based on the DOH’s COVID-19 tracker as of September 29, Metro Manila has 11,380 active cases of COVID-19. Overall, it has tallied some 1.26 million coronavirus cases, including 13,267 deaths.

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