Los Angeles Covid Positivity Rate Soars As CA Predicts Increase in Hospital Increases – Deadline
Los Angeles County reported 7,425 new cases of Covid and nine more deaths on Monday. But those numbers were artificially low due to the reporting delays over the holiday weekend.
The region’s test positivity rate – which is considered a more accurate indication of the spread of infection as it is an average and also a percentage, rather than a raw number – recounted a different story.
As of Monday, the average 7-day LA test positivity rate was 3.4%. Today, that same 7-day average has increased by over 300% to 12.4%. This is a shocking increase over the 8 days in a data point that is an average, not a raw number. The figures for one day are just as shocking.
On December 20, the reported test positivity (for that day alone) was 8%. This number alone would have qualified it for the category of “generalized” infections last winter. guidelines issued by the State of California for the reopening of the county.
By Sunday, however, the single-day test positivity rate had risen to 26%. It is among the highest, otherwise the highest single-day test positivity rates in the pandemic. According to The LA County data dashboard, the only day that even comes close is December 26, 2020, at the absolute peak of community transmission from the winter 2020 surge. Given the steepness of the trendline and of the spread of Omicron, it is unlikely to decline in the next few days.
The number of Covid-positive patients in county hospitals also continued its disconcerting rise today.
According to state figures, there were 966 Covid-positive patients in LA hospitals on Monday, up from 904 on Sunday. Two hundred of these patients were being treated in intensive care, up from 188 a day earlier.
Hospitalizations related to the pandemic have increased steadily in recent weeks, far exceeding the roughly 550 patients reported in late November. The increase masked a dramatic increase in the number of daily cases, which topped 11,000 on Saturday.
California public health officials have warned of further increases, especially in children.
“Unfortunately, NY is seeing an increase in pediatric hospitalizations (mostly among the unvaccinated), and they have similar vaccination rates between ages 5 and 11. [to California]Golden State epidemiologist Dr. Erica Pan wrote.
Unfortunately, NY is seeing an increase in pediatric hospitalizations (mostly among the unvaccinated), and they have similar vaccination rates between ages 5 and 11. Please give your children the gift of vaccine protection as soon as possible because our case #s increase rapidly. https://t.co/DTFUoYtGbK
– erica pan (@ericapanMD_CDPH) December 26, 2021
California Director of Public Health Dr Tomás Aragón reported that recent state forecasts indicate increases in the frequency of hospitals.
“Even though the Omicron variant causes less severe disease (say 50%), our modelers are predicting hospital relapses for AC,” Aragón wrote on Twitter.
“Why? Omicron is so contagious that it finds unvaccinated / unimmunized people who are most vulnerable to hospitalizations and death,” he observed.
Even though the Omicron variant causes less severe disease (say 50%), our modelers predict hospital relapses for AC.
Why? Omicron is so contagious that it finds unvaccinated / unimmunized people who are most vulnerable to hospitalizations and death.
Get vax / boosthttps://t.co/dbpSGaLOyv
– Tomás Aragón, MD, DrPH (@DrTomasAragon) December 24, 2021
More locally, LA Director of Public Health Barbara Ferrer warned last week that if infections continued to grow so dramatically, the number of daily cases could surpass 20,000 by the new year, its highest. pandemic level. She also said data shows unvaccinated people are 21 times more likely to be hospitalized than vaccinated people.
City News Service contributed to this report.